Situation Assessment
4 days ago
From the Strait of Hormuz to Bab el-Mandeb: The Repercussions of the Iranian War on the Security of the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa
From the Strait of Hormuz to Bab el-Mandeb: The Repercussions of the Iranian War on the Security of the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa The military escalation associated with Iran represents one of the most…
Situation Assessment
May 6, 2026
Shaping the Security Landscape in Mali: From the Fragility of Alliances to the Possibilities of Strategic Vulnerability
Shaping the Security Landscape in Mali: From the Fragility of Alliances to the Possibilities of Strategic Vulnerability The dawn of April 25, 2026, was not merely an isolated security incident in Mali; rather, it is viewed in…
Public Policies
May 2, 2026
Could Bamako Fall to Al-Qaeda? A Realistic Assessment of the Ambitions and Capabilities of Armed Groups in Mali
Could Bamako Fall to Al-Qaeda? A Realistic Assessment of the Ambitions and Capabilities of Armed Groups in Mali As the activities of armed groups escalate in southern and central Mali, and their attacks expand to include vital…
Political and Humanitarian Crises
May 2, 2026
The Joint Defense Agreement Between Sudan and Egypt: Activation Scenarios and Impact on the War
The Joint Defense Agreement Between Sudan and Egypt: Activation Scenarios and Their Impact on the War In a first-of-its-kind development since the outbreak of the war in Sudan in April 2023, Egypt has drawn “red lines” regarding…
Cybersecurity
May 2, 2026
Networks of Deceit: How Russian Recruitment Agencies Lure Africans to Fight in the Ukrainian War
Networks of Deception: How Russian Recruitment Agencies Lure Africans to Fight in the Ukraine War Recently, several international reports have highlighted the phenomenon of recruiting thousands of Africans into Russian forces to fight in Ukraine. Investigations into…
Internal and Social Conflicts
May 2, 2026
An Analysis of the Formation of a “Joint Force” to Secure the Borders Between Chad and Hafter’s Authority
An Analysis of the Establishment of a “Joint Force” to Secure Borders Between Chad and Haftar’s Authority The announcement in late October regarding the establishment of a joint force between the General Command of the Libyan National…
Public Policies
May 2, 2026
Conflict in the Amhara Region of Ethiopia: Background, Dimensions, and Prospects
The Conflict in Ethiopia’s Amhara Region: Background, Dimensions, and Prospects Since mid-2023, the Amhara region has witnessed a notable escalation in the intensity of the armed conflict between federal government forces on one side, and the opposition…
Geopolitics
May 2, 2026
The UN Peacekeeping Mission in Mali: Why Did MINUSMA Fail to Establish Stability?
The UN Peacekeeping Mission in Mali: Why Did MINUSMA Fail to Establish Stability? The United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali (MINUSMA) was established by Security Council Resolution 2100 in April 2013. Its field deployment officially…
Geopolitics
April 29, 2026
A Test of Trust: The Political Relationship Between President Faye and Prime Minister Sonko
Testing Trust in the Political Relationship Between Allies President Faye and His Prime Minister Sonko Abstract The political arena in Senegal is witnessing an escalating, undeclared tension between President Bassirou Diomaye Faye and his Prime Minister, Ousmane…
Natural Resources and Economic Competition
April 29, 2026
The Dissolution of the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF): Implications for the Party and the Region’s Future
The Dissolution of the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF): Implications for the Party and the Region’s Future Introduction It has been half a century since the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) was founded in 1975. Born from…
